Vice President Kamala Harris is 25 points ahead of Donald Trump among Latino voters in Arizona, according to a new poll.
The latest Univision poll, conducted between August 1 and August 8, shows 59 percent of likely Hispanic voters in Arizona said they would “definitely” or “probably” vote for Harris, while only 34 percent said the same for Trump.
According to the poll, 44 percent said they would “definitely” vote for Harris, while only 18 percent said they would “definitely” vote for Trump.
Meanwhile, among non-Hispanic voters, Trump lead Harris by 16 points, with 55 percent saying they would “definitely” or “probably” vote for Trump, while 39 percent said the same for Harris.
The poll surveyed 721 Hispanic voters in Arizona, and 858 non-Hispanic voters. There was a margin or error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points for Hispanics and plus or minus 3.4 percentage points for non-Hispanics.
Newsweek has contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment via email.
Hispanic voters have in the past typically leaned Democrat, however the margin of support has varied over the decades.
In 2020, 61 percent of Latino voters cast their ballot for Joe Biden, while 36 percent voted for Donald Trump, a narrower margin than in 2016, when Hillary Clinton beat Trump among Hispanics by 38 points, with 66 percent to his 28 percent, according to the Pew Research Center.
Meanwhile, in Arizona, Clinton won Hispanic voters by 30 points in 2016, with 61 percent to Trump’s 31 percent. However, despite her win, she still lost the state to Trump.
In 2020, Biden performed significantly worse among Hispanics in Arizona, winning the demographic by only 19 points, with 59 percent compared to Trump’s 40 percent, but still managed to win the state.
Currently, Harris is 1.3 points ahead of Trump in Arizona, a key swing state, according to FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker, after overtaking her rival on August 10.
Although Harris has some catching up to do to win as much support among Hispanics as her predecessors, polling suggests she is doing better with those voters already than Biden was earlier this summer.
For example, polling from the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago from July showed only 36 percent of Hispanic adults had a somewhat or very favorable opinion of Biden.
The Biden campaign also struggled to attract Latino voters in swing states like Arizona and Nevada particularly and started running Spanish-language ads early on in the campaign.
