In the weeks since President Biden withdrew from the election race and endorsed Kamala Harris, polls have indicated a surge in voter enthusiasm for the vice president.
She has pulled ahead in several battleground states as well as nationally. But before Biden stepped aside, Donald Trump led polling in every one of these key states.
So how do the polls currently view Harris’ chances of winning the battleground states that will decide the election? Looking at poll trends, state by state, the final analysis shows she has made progress, but will that be enough?
Harris is the presumptive Democratic nominee, with all her major potential rivals in the party having endorsed her. She and her running mate Tim Walz are set to be confirmed at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago later this month.
Trump has not led a national poll for over a week, with Harris leading by between 1 and 5 points in 17 of the 18 most recent surveys (one national survey has them tied).
But as with Trump in 2016 and George W. Bush in 2000, a candidate can lose the popular vote nationally and still win the White House. While polling in most of the 50 states strongly indicate which candidate will win there in November, neither candidate currently strongly leads in enough states to win the election.
